Economists think Washington should step aside, do you?

I’m up to my eyeballs everyday in the latest financial and economic news because it’s my job. That said, I wasn’t surprised at all when I read (and I have read it many times before) that many economists feel that the economy would be better off if policy makers stepped aside and let the natural functions of the market work themselves out:

Economists are getting more pessimistic about the strength of the U.S. recovery, but they don’t think policy makers should do anything more to support it, according to the latest Wall Street Journal forecasting survey.

The 53 surveyed economists, not all of whom answered every question, offered a bleak picture of tepid growth and high unemployment.

Despite the continued challenging conditions, 30 out of 48 economists who answered the question [what are the biggest risk facing the economy] said the economy didn’t need any more fiscal or monetary stimulus.

“The economy needs government to get out of the way,” said Stephen Stanley of Pierpont Securities.

I know many of you aren’t happy with the solutions those responsible for fixing the economy have come up with to this point. The government has had a heavy hand in supporting the economy in nearly every way recently, from tax credits to federal refinance programs to keeping mortgage rates low.

I want to find out if you agree or disagree with what many economists are saying. Moving forward, do you think the economic recovery would fare better a) with Washington’s continued support, or b) without their support?

What Good Are (Even) Lower Mortgage Rates?

After the conclusion of the Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) one-day meeting on Tuesday, the Fed announced measures that will help serve to keep mortgage rates low if need be:

To help support the economic recovery in a context of price stability, the Committee will keep constant the Federal Reserve’s holdings of securities at their current level by reinvesting principal payments from agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities in longer-term Treasury securities.1 The Committee will continue to roll over the Federal Reserve’s holdings of Treasury securities as they mature.

The immediate impact of yesterday’s statement sent 10-year Treasuries even lower, pulling long-term mortgage rates down along with them.

Be sure to read: “What Moves Mortgage Rates

The fact that historically-low mortgage rates have made little waves outside of the refinance market, you may be wondering, “What good are even-lower mortgage rates going to do for our housing market?” After the expiration of the homebuyer tax credit, home sales have been ugly — the demand simply is not there. That’s proves that historically-low mortgage rates alone don’t drive demand, at least at the moment.

About More than Just Rates

However, the Fed’s announcement yesterday has more to do with providing economic stability, if the need arises, than it has to do their perceived need to keep mortgage rates low.

“The Fed has chosen to continue to use its portfolio to support economic growth rather than let it naturally run off,” explains HSH VP Keith Gumbinger. “Although the actual economic boost will likely be small, it does allow the Fed to move more quickly should the economy show more signs of stress.”

What Does the Market Need?

This answer is simple: a lot. The housing market needs more than just low rates to jump-start activity. We have been proponents for weeks now that the White House needs to do something to address the issue of underwater borrowers who can’t refinance because of their negative equity. Beyond that, there’s still unemployment, foreclosures and falling home prices to deal with.

New Type of Fear

CNBC’s Diana Olick spent some time with a Maryland real estate agent the other day who shared a new sense of fear that exists in the homebuying market now more than ever: the fear that, even though they can afford the home, borrowers are uncertain they will be unable to keep the home:

Mortgage rates? “It is a piece of the equation; it is relatively small though in the big picture of things,” [Eric Murtagh of Evers and Company] tells [Olick]. “Issues like stability of employment, cash that the buyers may be pulling out of the stock market in order to pay for the home, and just the insecurity they may have regarding what is the price or the value of the home going to do after they go to settlement? The cumulative of those different issues, I think, have created some timidity for the purchasers out there.”

He also added something a little more startling to hear in this upscale neighborhood: “They are coming in the door with definite interest in buying a home, but there is a concern: Are they going to have the ability to keep the house?”

Buying a home, or thinking about buying a home? What scares you the most?

Health Insurance Reform: Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs) like Who will be subject to the new taxes imposed in the health legislation?

New Medicare Tax on “Unearned” Net Investment Income

Q-1: Who will be subject to the new taxes imposed in the health legislation?

A: A new 3.8% tax will apply to the “unearned” income of “High Income” taxpayers. Another 0.9% tax will apply to the “earned” income of many of these same individuals. Both levies are referred to as “Medicare” taxes. (For a description of the new 0.9% tax, see separate Q&A entitled “New Tax on EARNED INCOME: Wages, Salaries and Commissions.”)

Q-2: Who is a “High Income” Taxpayer?

A: Those whose tax filing status is “single” will be subject to the new unearned income taxes if they have Adjusted Gross Income (AGI) of more than $200,000. Married couples filing a joint return with AGI of more than $250,000 will also be subject to the new tax. (The AGI threshold for married filing separate returns is $125,000.)

Q-3: Are the $200,000 and $250,000 thresholds indexed for inflation?

No. Thus, over time, more individuals may become subject to this tax.

Q-4: When does the new 3.8% Medicare tax take effect?

A: The new Medicare tax on unearned income will take effect January 1, 2013.

Q-5: What is “unearned” net investment income?

A. Unearned income is the income that an individual derives from investing his/her capital. It includes capital gains, rents, dividends and interest income. It also comes from some investments in active businesses ifthe investor is not an active participant in the business.

The portion of unearned income that is subject both to income tax and the new Medicare tax is the amount of income derived from these sources, reduced by any expenses associated with earning that income. (Hence the term “net” investment income.) Thus, in the case of rents, the taxable amount would be gross rents minus all expenses (including depreciation) incurred in operating the rental property. So if gross rents were $100,000 with associated expenses of $40,000, net rents of $60,000 ($100,000 minus $40,000) would be included in Adjusted Gross Income (AGI).

Q-6: So the new tax will apply to rents from investment properties that I own?

A: Maybe. Remember that net investment income includes only net rental income. TThus, gross rents would not be subject to the tax. Rather, gross rents would be reduced (as they are under the income tax) by all allowable expenses, including depreciation, cost of repairs, property taxes and all other expenses related to the property. AGI includes net income from rent, so if your AGI is above the $200,000/$250,000 thresholds, then the rental income might be subject to the tax. For many investment real estate owners, the net rents will be the same as or similar to the amounts reported on their Schedule E, filed with their Form 1040 Income Tax Return. (For calculations, see Q-8, below. See also Q-9 through Q-12 related to capital gain from sale of principal residence, losses on sale and to vacation homes, below.)

Q-7: Does the tax apply to the yearly appreciation of an asset?

No. Capital gains are subject to this new tax only in the year when the asset is sold. The amount of the gain will be measured in the same way that it is for income tax purposes. This rule applies to real estate and all other appreciating capital assets. Net capital gains are taxable only in the year of sale.

Q-8: How is the new 3.8% Medicare tax calculated?

A: The new 3.8% Medicare tax is assessed only when Adjusted Gross Income (AGI) is more than $200,000/$250,000. (See Q-2 above.) AGI includes net income from interest, dividends, rents and capital gains, as well as earned compensation and several additional forms of income presented on a Form 1040 Income Tax Return.

The tax is NOT imposed on the total AGI, nor is it imposed solely on the investment income. Rather, the taxable amount will depend on the operation of a formula. The taxpayer will determine the LESSER of (1) net investment income OR (2) the excess of AGI over the $200,000/$250,000 AGI thresholds. Thus, if net investment income is the smaller amount, then the 3.8% tax is applied only to the net investment income amount. If the excess over the thresholds is the smaller amount, then the 3.8% tax would apply only to the excess amount.

For example, if AGI for a single individual is $275,000, then the excess over $200,000 would be $75,000 ($275,000 minus $200,000). Assume that this individual’s net investment income is $60,000. The new 3.8% tax applies to the smaller amount. In this example, $60,000 of net investment income is less than the $75,000 excess over the threshold. Thus, in this example, the 3.8% tax is applied to the $60,000.

If this single individual had AGI if $275,000 and net investment income of $90,000, then the new tax would be imposed on the smaller amount: the $75,000 of excess over $200,000.

Rules of thumb for predicting the application of this tax year to year are not readily determinable, largely because the proportion of net investment income compared to AGI will vary from year to year and from individual to individual.

Q-9: Will the $250,000/$500,000 exclusion on the sale of a principal residence continue to apply?

A: Yes. Any gain from the sale of a principal residence that is less than $250,000 (individual) or $500,000 (joint return) will continue to be excluded from the income tax. The new 3.8% tax will NOT apply to this excluded amount of the gain.

Q-10: Will the 3.8% tax apply to any part of the gain on the sale of a principal residence?

A: The new Medicare tax would apply only to any gain realized that is more than the $250K/$500K existing primary home exclusion (known as the “taxable gain”), and only if the seller has AGI above the $200K/$250K AGI thresholds.

So, for example, if the taxable gain was $30,000 and a married couple had AGI (which would include the taxable gain) of $180,000, the 3.8% tax would not apply because AGI is less than $250,000. If that same couple had AGI of $290,000, then the application of the 3.8% tax would be subject to the same formula described above. The $30,000taxable gain on the sale would be less than the $40,000 excess above $250,000 AGI, so the $30,000 gain would be subject to the new 3.8% tax.

Q-11: Is rent from a vacation home subject to the 3.8% tax? And what about the gain on sale of a vacation or rental property?

A: The application of the tax will depend on whether the vacation home has been rented out, the period for which it has been rented and whether the property is solely for the enjoyment of the owner. If the owner has rented the home out to others, then the 14-day rent exclusion will continue to apply. Thus, if the owner rents the property to others (including family members) for 14 or fewer days, there would be no net investment tax. (Note that no deductions for expenses would be available, as under current law.) If the home has been rented to others (including family members) for more than 14 days, then the rents (minus related expenses) would be considered as part of net investment income and could, depending on AGI and the calculations described above, be subject to the new tax.

If the vacation home has been used solely for personal enjoyment (i.e., there is no rental income and no associated expenses), then a gain on sale would be treated as net investment income and could be subject to the tax, depending on AGI. Similarly, if the property had generated rents, any net gain on sale could also be included in net investment income. The amount of the tax (if any) would depend on the calculation formula, above in Q-8.

Q-12: My rental property generates a net loss each year. How will those losses be factored into the new tax? And what if I have net capital losses when I sell?

A: Net losses from rents and net capital losses reduce AGI. Thus, the losses themselves would not be subject to the tax. If, after losses, AGI still exceeds the High Income thresholds, the 3.8% tax would still apply if there were any interest or dividends income. (Capital losses reduce capital gains. If losses exceed gains, no more than $3000 of capital losses may reduce other income in any year.)

Note that passive loss limitations will continue to apply to rental income and loss.

Q-13: All of my income is derived from real estate investments that I own and operate myself. Will my rents and gains be subject to the new tax?

A: No. If the ownership and operation of real estate you own is your sole occupation, then those activities are what’s called your “trade or business.” Income derived from a trade or business is not subject to the new 3.8% tax, but could be subject to the 0.9% tax on earned income.

If the owner of rental properties has a “day job,” however, real estate investments are not considered as a trade or business, but are rather considered as investments, even if they are a major source of income. Note that many Realtors engage in business activities are that are the “typical” selling, leasing and brokerage endeavors usually associated with the term “Realtor.” If they also own real estate assets as part of their own personal investment portfolio, the rents from that portfolio could become subject to the new 3.8% tax on net investment income, depending on AGI.

Q-14: Is there a real estate “sales tax” or a transfer tax in the new health care bill?

A: No. There is neither a real estate “sales tax” nor a real estate transfer tax in the bill.

Q-15: Will “High Income Filers” lose any portion of the Mortgage Interest they are allowed to deduct? A: No. The mortgage interest deduction is unchanged. No cap was imposed on any itemized deductions.

Q-16: Why is this new tax called a “Medicare tax?”

A: The revenues generated from this tax will be allocated to the Medicare Trust Fund that is part of the Social Security System. That fund is currently on shaky financial footing. The additional revenues generated from the new earned income and unearned income taxes are intended to shore up the Medicare Trust Fund.

Q-17: How will this new tax affect marginal (the highest) tax rates when it is combined with existing law and with the possible expiration of the Bush tax cuts enacted in 2001?

A: Marginal tax rates are the tax rates assessed on the “last” dollars included in taxable income. If the Bush tax cuts are allowed to expire, then the marginal rates for upper income individuals will increase, particularly for capital gains income. The chart below reflects the impact of those changes, presented based on implementation of current law effective dates.
Download the chart> (PDF: 90K)
Download this set of FAQs> (PDF: 99K)

Additional FAQs:

New Medicare Tax on EARNED INCOME: Wages, Salaries and Commissions
The Final Legislation
Need for Reform — A REALTOR® Perspective
Access to Health Insurance
Health Insurance Exchange and SHOP
Individual Mandates
Employer Mandates
If You Already Have or Provide Coverage
Plan Details
Paying for Health Reform

Gay Equal Rights Affirmed #NAR’s board voted to prohibit members from discriminating on the basis of sexual orientation.

By Stacey Moncrieff | August 2010

Eric Kodner’s Madeline Island Real Estate blog on ActiveRain is a lively mix of business and human interest stories and he used his blog to post a serious call to action. In response to some debate the previous day on ActiveRain, Kodner called for an update to the Code of Ethics of the NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® to prohibit discrimination on the basis of sexual orientation.

That posting became a key part of the chain of events leading to a historic vote at this year’s REALTORS® Midyear Legislative Meetings in Washington, D.C. On May 15, the NAR board of directors voted to add language about sexual orientation to Article 10 of the Code of Ethics. For the change to take effect, the vote must be approved by NAR’s Delegate Body, which meets Nov. 8 at the REALTORS® Conference & Expo in New Orleans.

For Kodner, the ActiveRain blog post put him squarely in the middle of an issue that was already being debated in real estate circles around the country. He received an appointment to the Wisconsin REALTORS® Association’s Equal Opportunity Committee, and it was that committee that brought a proposal forward—first to NAR’s Cultural Diversity and Equal Opportunity Committee in November 2009 and then to NAR’s Professional Standards Committee in May.

The Professional Standards Committee, in turn, teed up the board’s recent action by voting unanimously in favor of the proposal. “It was time for the association to take a stand for tolerance,” says committee chair Linda Page, GRI, SFR, a practitioner in Rhinebeck, N.Y.

If the Delegate Body passes the change, Article 10 will read:

  • REALTORS® shall not deny equal professional service to any person for reasons of race, color, religion, sex, handicap, familial status, national origin, or sexual orientation.
  • REALTORS® shall not be parties to any plan or agreement to discriminate against a person or persons on the basis of race, color, religion, sex, handicap, familial status, national origin, or sexual orientation.
  • REALTORS® in their real estate employment practices shall not discriminate against any person or persons on the basis of race, color, religion, sex, handicap, familial status, national origin, or sexual orientation.

The board of directors’ vote puts NAR one step ahead of Congress, which is considering a change to the Fair Housing Act. The Fair and Inclusive Housing Rights Act of 2010 would prohibit discrimination on the basis of sexual orientation and gender identity. It would be the first change to the law since 1988, when handicap and familial status were added as protected classes.

“The entire process made me proud to be a REALTOR®,” says Kodner, who’s been invited to travel to Washington to meet with Rep. John Conyers (D-Mich.), the bill’s cosponsor. “I’ve been so impressed with the way NAR has handled this issue.”


Stacey Moncrieff is editor-in-chief of REALTOR® magazine.

Ready to buy? Get cocked, locked and ready to rock. Become a Qualified Buyer!

Ready to buy? Then here’s what documentation you need to prepare so a mortgage banker can let you know exactly what loan amount and purchase price you can qualify for:

• Last two years complete personal tax returns including W-2’s
• Last two years complete corporate tax returns including K-1’s (if applicable)
• Two months bank statements for all accounts

Please feel free to reach me if you have any questions now. BANG!

Preparing to Close on a Property? Keep these things in mind…

Contributed by Sonia C Llesol

Closing is an integral phase in the process of home buying. One single problem could jeopardize a smooth transition of ownership, thus it I is very important to prepare for it.

Ensure that you have a real estate agent or lawyer to represent you in the whole process. Plan the date as well and ensure that the date is convenient for you. Furthermore, check out the details of the transaction and never hesitate to ask questions.

Closing on a home means the completion of the sale and all the conditions and terms of the purchase agreement met. The final days before you close on a home is an emotional and busy time for both the seller and the buyer. A homebuyer may be wondering if they are making the right decision or about making payment for their new mortgage. The home seller may be worried about all the paper works involved and moving to a new home.

Here is a guideline to prepare to close on a home:

1. The closing date may be chosen by the buyer or the seller. Nevertheless, both should agree on the date. If is the task of the real estate agent to let the other parties involved know such as the brokers, lender and the closing agent. Setting the date is necessary for both parties and can set the date before the homebuyer moves into the home.

2. Understand the loan offer conditions stated in the mortgage lender's commitment letter. If the property you are trying to buy has violated a building code, it should be corrected before closing. If the seller agrees to do the repairs required by the mortgage lender, make sure the work is done before closing.

3. For a smooth closing, you have to review all the pertinent documents with your lawyer. Most likely, you have to check on three important documents such as the mortgage, settlement statement and note. Make sure to check these files to ensure that what is written there are items you agreed upon. Do not hesitate to ask if there are irregularities and demand them to be corrected before signing anything.

4. A title insurance further insures that the seller is handing over a clean title. The two kinds of policies that the homebuyer can buy are the owner's policy and lender's policy. The lender's policy protects a lender in case a title flaw is detected after the purchase of a home. The owner's policy protects a homebuyer. Acquiring a mixed lender-owner policy helps save money.

5. Lenders require a homeowner's insurance which protects the homebuyer and the mortgage lender from loss in case the house is destroyed or damaged. Ask your mortgage lender or agent or get quotes on your own. If you are going to get insurance on your own, bring the policy and the payment receipt on closing day.

6. When buying a new home, consider buying a homeowner's warranty, which protects against defects in your home. If you are purchasing an older home or is a first-time homebuyer, you may probably want to be covered for repairs on major systems such as heating, plumbing and air-conditioning.

7. The lender is required to give a homebuyer an estimate of the costs of closing as soon as the loan application ahs been filed. If you are a buyer, you will be required to pay the remainder of the down payment during this time, including deposit and costs of closing. Closing costs range from three to fiver percent of the whole loan amount.

Pimco: Investment Returns Will Turn Flat

By: Dan Weil Investment returns overall will be modest in coming months, as we enter the new normal of subpar economic growth, says Pimco global strategist Richard Clarida.

But the deviations up and down will be huge, he says.

“We are in a New Normal world in which the distribution of outcomes is flatter and the tails are fatter,” is how he put it on Pimco’s website. A tail refers to an outsized move in a market.

The fact that these outsized moves will be bigger makes it important for investors to be on the winning side.

But, “Getting the tails right will be easier said than done,” Clarida wrote. That’s because traditional rules won’t work in this environment. For example, a V-shaped recovery hasn’t followed the U.S. recession.

In addition, fluctuations in risk appetite will be extreme amid fear of losses, Clarida says.

The risk of big losses also will discourage excessive borrowing. “Successful investment strategies in a New Normal world will generally be less levered than during the Great Moderation — roughly 1987-2007,” he wrote.

Janet Briaud, CEO of Briaud Financial Advisors, tells Moneynews the key factor to remember in this investment environment is that you’re trying to beat inflation by 3 percentage points.

So with core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, running at a 0.9 percent rate now, you need only a 4 percent return. On that basis, Treasuries and munis offer good value, she says.

#KLEAN asks State to reconsider Denial of License to Operate #Weho Treatment Center, Attempts to demonstrate that its Applications Merit an Approval

WEST HOLLYWOOD, CA - DECEMBER 10:  A restauran...

A Restaurant in 'Boys Town' with a Liquor License a block away from KLEAN in the Norma Triangle

From the Office of Abbe Land to a neighbor of mine in the Norma Triangle:

Dear …….,

The City of West Hollywood is aware of the concerns expressed by residents on Hilldale Avenue regarding the sober living facility, KLEAN - West Hollywood. The City has been investigating the operation of KLEAN to determine whether they are properly complying with all local and state laws. If it is determined that KLEAN is not operating lawfully, the City will take appropriate action.

It is our understanding that KLEAN is asking the state to reconsider its denial of a license to operate a treatment center and attempting to demonstrate that its applications merit an approval.

If you have a specific concern about possible reportable nuisance activities at the KLEAN facility, please call the City’s Code Compliance Hotline at (323) 848- 6516.

Thanks,
Corri Planck

Corri Planck
Deputy, Councilmember Abbe Land
City of West Hollywood
8300 Santa Monica Blvd.
West Hollywood, CA 90069
(323) 848-6460
(323) 848-6562 (fax)
cplanck@weho.org
www.weho.org

This is where it stands. Neighbors should be alert. – Carlo.